Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000389 0.000437 0.000489 0.000550 0.000619 0.000695 0.000786
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000305 0.000374 0.000455 0.000561 0.000693 0.000854 0.001066
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000240 0.000314 0.000407 0.000536 0.000710 0.000939 0.001267
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000207 0.000284 0.000387 0.000539 0.000757 0.001063 0.001531
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000188 0.000270 0.000386 0.000564 0.000833 0.001234 0.001886
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000164 0.000245 0.000363 0.000552 0.000852 0.001321 0.002126
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000141 0.000217 0.000333 0.000524 0.000842 0.001359 0.002289
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000130 0.000206 0.000325 0.000531 0.000885 0.001488 0.002624
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.000202 0.000329 0.000557 0.000964 0.001685 0.003110
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000113 0.000188 0.000315 0.000549 0.000981 0.001777 0.003415
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000180 0.000308 0.000552 0.001020 0.001912 0.003824
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000169 0.000297 0.000546 0.001039 0.002011 0.004175
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000163 0.000294 0.000556 0.001092 0.002188 0.004734
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000156 0.000288 0.000561 0.001138 0.002359 0.005316
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000142 0.000268 0.000536 0.001115 0.002382 0.005561
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000136 0.000263 0.000538 0.001154 0.002546 0.006178
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000136 0.000268 0.000563 0.001245 0.002841 0.007188
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000127 0.000256 0.000551 0.001250 0.002936 0.007689
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000117 0.000239 0.000524 0.001215 0.002927 0.007907
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000113 0.000236 0.000530 0.001263 0.003135 0.008782
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000113 0.000242 0.000556 0.001363 0.003493 0.010185
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000108 0.000233 0.000548 0.001375 0.003619 0.010902
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000104 0.000230 0.000552 0.001418 0.003838 0.011970